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Bitcoin Price Plunges on Middle East Tensions, Eyes on Upcoming Halving

Updated: Dec 4, 2024

The Bitcoin market nosedived over the weekend as prices plunged amidst growing geopolitical tension in the Middle East. The largest cryptocurrency fell 7.7% on Saturday, which is the most severe drop since March 2023, and sent prices down to about $63,230. The latest market slump has coincided with growing hostility, the most recent of which was an Iranian missile and drone attack against Israel in retaliation for what was described as an Israeli airstrike that killed several Iranian military officials in Syria.


BTC Price Drop Following Iranian Attack On Israel

It also brought up not only global geopolitical fears but triggered a sell-off in the cryptocurrency market. Zaheer Ebtikar, the founder of crypto fund Zaheer Ebtikar, said the potential to escalate that may further influence investor sentiment to reopen traditional markets could mean everything as to which direction the market would further take. "People will really look for what markets will look like on Monday," he added, commenting on the overall impact of geopolitical turbulence in investor decisions.



Impact of Middle Eastern Geopolitical Tensions


On April 13, Bitcoin drastically plunged over 8.4% after the Iranian attack exacerbated Middle East geopolitical tensions. It was trading at about $67,000 until it plunged to $61,625 and wiped off more than $130 million in market capitalization. It has thus translated across the cryptocurrency board into other major digital assets: Ether dropped 9.81% to $2,927, while Solana shed 15.96% to $129.


The sharp declines were also partly because of large-scale liquidations, according to Coinglass, which reported about $1.5 billion of bullish crypto wagers liquidated over two days. According to Ebtikar, the market leverage had become "completely overwhelmed," thus contributing to the severe deterioration of price in digital assets.


Upcoming Bitcoin Halving and Market Speculation

Add all those to the mayhem in markets of late, and crypto speculators can't wait for one more thing: the upcoming Bitcoin halving due around April 20. The halving-or a scheduled reduction in reward for mining new blocks-has tended to be a tailwind to the price of Bitcoin, and it has even set off a rally in the market. The supply of new Bitcoins decreases, and if patterns continue, this reduced supply with steady or increasing demand sends prices higher.


This is the context uniquely putting a challenge to this year. Coming into the year with Bitcoin reaching $73,798 in mid-March, many have grown skeptical that this time around, the halving will also see a similar bullish outcome. "Although NVDA should deliver a spectacular 2024, recent trends set up a significant cyclical downturn by 2026," analysts at D.A. Davidson said as broader economic and cyclically challenging times in both tech and cryptocurrency sectors continue.


Global Response and Market Outlook

Global markets are so fraught and at a watch-out for further developments that the communities of cryptocurrency are really on their toes. Digital currencies are stretched to prove themselves resilient in this tussle as safe havens amidst geopolitical tensions that raise critical questions of what effect this might have on financial stability across the world.


President Joe Biden made it clear that the U.S. "is committed to the state of Israel, and always will support Israel, help to defend Israel, and Iran is not going to get the best of it." It was a critical stance underlined by strategic positioning for the United States in the region due to ongoing conflict.


Events will keep showing how markets react in the case of a geopolitical situation or Bitcoin halving-churned out, maybe what has set the pace for the cryptocurrencies in the months to come.

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