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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD Rises Above $34 Amid Safe-Haven Demand and Market Dynamics

Updated: Nov 11

The silver market has experienced a significant surge as safe-haven demand continues to drive prices upwards. Amid geopolitical uncertainties and easing monetary policies, the Silver Price Forecast predicts further gains for the precious metal. As of the latest data, silver is trading above $34 per troy ounce, maintaining its upward trend. This rise has been fueled by rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and global monetary policy shifts.


Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD Rises Above $34 Amid Safe-Haven Demand and Market Dynamics

Key Takeaways:

  • Safe-haven demand continues to drive silver prices upward amid escalating Middle East tensions and U.S. election uncertainties.

  • Silver has risen above $34 per troy ounce, benefiting from global central banks' dovish policies and supply deficits.

  • Persistent supply shortfalls in silver are forecast to keep upward pressure on prices, with predictions that it could surpass $40 by the year’s end.

  • Analysts warn of volatility, but expect strong support for silver in the lower $30s, driven by geopolitical and monetary dynamics.



Safe-Haven Demand Drives Silver Price Forecast Amid Geopolitical Tensions


Silver Price Forecasts have pointed to increasing demand for silver due to its status as a safe-haven asset. With tensions between Israel and Hezbollah intensifying after Israeli military actions targeted sites in Beirut linked to Hezbollah’s financial operations, investors have flocked to silver as a protective asset. The conflict, which threatens to escalate further, has raised concerns about stability in the region, contributing to heightened safe-haven flows.


Simultaneously, market anxieties around the upcoming U.S. election have further bolstered demand for precious metals like silver. As the election draws closer, both Democratic candidate Kamala Harris and Republican frontrunner Donald Trump continue to vie for undecided voters, with political uncertainty further pushing demand for assets like silver, known to provide protection during unstable times.



Central Banks' Monetary Policies Continue to Support Silver Prices

In addition to geopolitical factors, central banks across the globe are adopting dovish monetary policies, adding another layer of support to the Silver Price Forecast. The U.S. Federal Reserve, Bank of Canada (BoC), and other major central banks have adopted policies favoring rate cuts, which are historically supportive of precious metals. The BoC is expected to cut rates by 50 basis points, while other central banks, including the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) and the Bank of England (BoE), may also consider easing measures in the near term.


Silver, being a non-yielding asset, benefits directly from such monetary policies, as lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding the metal. With the U.S. Federal Reserve anticipated to slash rates by another 50 basis points by year-end, the outlook remains favorable for silver investors.



Silver Scarcity and Supply Deficits Push Prices Higher

Beyond the immediate demand due to geopolitical and monetary factors, the Silver Price Forecast is also supported by long-standing supply deficits. According to analysts, the supply of silver continues to lag behind demand, which adds further upward pressure on prices. The Silver Institute’s forecast for 2024 shows a global supply of around 1.004 billion ounces compared to demand of 1.219 billion ounces, marking the fourth consecutive year of a supply shortfall.


These persistent deficits have fueled speculation that silver may break above $40 per ounce by the end of the year, as noted by market expert Peter Spina of GoldSeek.com. Spina has remarked that silver “has all the right ingredients for a melt-up move,” particularly as gold prices continue to rise, making silver appear undervalued in comparison.



Market Analysts See Aggressive Price Moves Ahead

The fundamentals of silver’s scarcity, combined with rising safe-haven demand, have positioned the metal for aggressive price movements. Spina predicts that silver could surge past the $40 mark, following gold’s lead. With the gold-to-silver ratio currently sitting at a high of nearly 81:1, there is significant room for silver to close the gap, as historically the ratio has averaged closer to 55:1.


Investors are now closely monitoring both geopolitical developments and central bank actions to determine whether silver’s bullish momentum will continue. The Silver Price Forecast for the coming months remains positive, but analysts warn that volatility is likely. Prices may experience sharp pullbacks along the way, although the floor for silver is expected to remain solidly in the $30 range.

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